United States USD

United States Exports

Impact:
Medium

Latest Release:

Date:
Surprise:
$-2B
| USD
Actual:
$278.5B
Forecast: $280.5B
Previous/Revision:
$278B
Period: Mar

Next Release:

Date:
Forecast: $267B
Period: Apr
What Does It Measure?
United States exports measure the total value of goods and services produced domestically and sold to foreign buyers. This economic indicator specifically assesses trade activity, contributing to the calculation of the trade balance, which is essential for understanding national economic performance and competitiveness in the global market.
Frequency
The data on U.S. exports is released monthly, typically within the first week of the following month, and consists of preliminary estimates subject to later revisions.
Why Do Traders Care?
Traders closely monitor U.S. export figures as they are pivotal for understanding the health of the U.S. economy; stronger-than-expected export growth may boost the U.S. dollar and positively influence American equities. Conversely, a decline in export values can signal economic weakness, potentially leading to bearish sentiments in currency and stock markets.
What Is It Derived From?
U.S. exports data is derived from customs records and international trade statistics, aggregating information from surveys of businesses engaged in exporting goods and services. It is compiled by the U.S. Census Bureau and informed by various trade agreements and regulations affecting export activities.
Description
Preliminary export reports provide early estimates based on collected data, but these figures may be revised as more comprehensive information becomes available in later reports. The final report offers a more accurate representation of the export landscape, which can influence market reactions as traders assess the implications of the revisions. Traders typically consider year-over-year reporting when analyzing this data, as it allows them to understand long-term trends and account for seasonal variations.
Additional Notes
The United States exports data serves as a coincident economic measure, reflecting current economic conditions and trends. It is often compared with other indicators, such as imports and GDP growth rates, to assess overall economic health and trade relationships, both regionally and globally.
Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks
Higher than expected: Bullish for USD, Bullish for Stocks.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
$278.5B
$280.5B
$278B
$-2B
$278.5B
$271B
$270.5B
$7.5B
$269.8B
$273B
$266.5B
$-3.2B
$266.5B
$262B
$273.6B
$4.5B
$273.4B
$264B
$266.3B
$9.4B
$265.7B
$265B
$270B
$0.7B
$267.9B
$264B
$271.2B
$3.9B
$271.8B
$270B
$266.5B
$1.8B
$266.6B
$266B
$265.3B
$0.6B
$265.9B
$268B
$262B
$-2.1B
$261.7B
$265B
$263.4B
$-3.3B
$263.7B
$253B
$261.6B
$10.7B
$257.6B
$260B
$262.9B
$-2.4B
$263B
$258B
$257.2B
$5B
$257.2B
$258.8B
$256.9B
$-1.6B
$258.2B
$255B
$254.3B
$3.2B
$253.7B
$252.8B
$258.6B
$0.9B
$258.8B
$258.3B
$261.4B
$0.5B
$261.1B
$261.2B
$255.4B
$-0.1B
$256B
$255.5B
$251.9B
$0.5B
$251.66B
$250B
$247.7B
$1.66B
$247.5B
$247.8B
$247.8B
$-0.3B
$247.1B
$248.2B
$249.2B
$-1.1B
$249B
$247B
$258.2B
$2B
$256.2B
$256.3B
$250.9B
$-0.1B
$251.2B
$250.4B
$258.1B
$0.8B
$257.5B
$260.2B
$249B
$-2.7B
$250.2B
$249.4B
$252.4B
$0.8B
$251.9B
$251.4B
$256.9B
$0.5B
$256.6B
$257B
$258.5B
$-0.4B
$258B
$257B
$260.8B
$1B
$258.9B
$259B
$259.6B
$-0.1B
$259.3B
$259B
$258.8B
$0.3B
$260.8B
$257B
$256.5B
$3.8B
$255.9B
$252.8B
$252.8B
$3.1B
$252.6B
$245B
$244.1B
$7.6B
$241.7B
$229.1B
$228.8B
$12.6B
$228.6B
$225B
$224.4B
$3.6B
$224.4B
$225B
$228.3B
$-0.6B
$228.1B
$226.7B
$224.7B
$1.4B
$224.2B
$220.4B
$223.9B
$3.8B
$223.6B
$224B
$206.8B
$-0.4B
$207.6B
$209B
$214B
$-1.4B
$213.7B
$214.3B
$212.7B
$-0.6B
$212.8B
$210.3B
$210.1B
$2.5B
$207.7B
$206.8B
$206.5B
$0.9B
$206B
$204.4B
$204.7B
$1.6B
$204.99B
$204B
$202.67B
$0.99B
$200.03B
$201.5B
$187.6B
$-1.47B
$187.3B
$187.1B
$192.2B
$0.2B
$191.9B
$192.5B
$190B
$-0.6B
$190B
$185B
$184.2B
$5B
$184.2B
$183.4B
$182B
$0.8B
$182B
$180.1B
$178B
$1.9B
$176.4B
$175.1B
$172B
$1.3B
$171.9B
$171.7B
$168.3B
$0.2B
$168.1B
$177B
$155.48B
$-8.9B
$158.25B
$159.6B
$144.69B
$-1.35B
$144.5B
$140B
$151.1B
$4.5B
$151.28B
$131.4B
$190.18B
$19.88B
$187.8B
$197.9B
$207.8B
$-10.1B
$207.5B
$209.5B
$208.3B
$-2B
$208.6B
$208.3B
$209.5B
$0.3B
$209.6B
$209B
$208.1B
$0.6B
$209B
$208.1B
$207B
$0.9B
$207B
$205.1B
$208B
$1.9B
$206B
$205.6B
$207.8B
$0.4B
$207.9B
$207.7B
$207.4B
$0.2B
$207.4B
$207.4B
$206.3B
$206.3B
$207.1B
$210.7B
$-0.8B
$210.636B
$210.8B
$206.411B
$-0.164B
$206.85B
$207.8B
$211.41B
$-0.95B
$211.97B
$211.2B
$209.91B
$0.77B
$209.7B
$205.1B
$207.4B
$4.6B
$207.3B
$204B
$205.4B
$3.3B
$205.1B
$207B
$209.1B
$-1.9B
$209.9B
$211B
$211.2B
$-1.1B
$211.05B
$212.1B
$211.36B
$-1.05B
$212.57B
$210B
$209.45B
$2.57B
$209.43B
$211.5B
$211.08B
$-2.07B
$211.08B
$215B
$213.2B
$-3.92B
$213.81B
$216.8B
$215.34B
$-2.99B
$215.33B
$212.9B
$211.24B
$2.43B
$211.25B
$206B
$210.66B
$5.25B
$208.53B
$202.2B
$204.35B
$6.33B
$204.45B
$202.2B
$200.95B
$2.25B
$200.91B
$203B
$203.61B
$-2.09B
$203.35B
$200.8B
$199.81B
$2.55B
$200.22B
$196.4B
$195.78B
$3.82B
$195.91B
$195B
$195.93B
$0.91B
$196.82B
$195B
$194.75B
$1.82B
$195.32B
$194.51B
$194.4B
$195B
$195B
$-0.6B
$194.37B
$193B
$192.02B
$1.37B
$192.03B
$191.7B
$191.17B
$0.33B
$190.98B
$191.5B
$190.99B
$192.66B
$192.87B
$192B
$192.51B
$0.87B
$192.1B
$191B
$191B
$1.1B
$190.7B
$185.65B
$185.83B
$186.28B
$186.36B
$189B
$189.77B
$-2.64B
$189.2B
$189B
$188.16B
$0.2B
$187.85B
$188B
$186.38B
$-0.15B
$186.33B
$182.92B
$183.15B
$183B
$182.54B
$0.15B
$182.35B
$182.7B
$182.7B
$-0.35B
$182.8B
$178B
$180.17B
$4.8B
$176.62B
$178.2B
$178.167B
$-1.58B
$178.07B
$176.29B
$176.46B
$180.3B
$181.5B
$182.2B
$182.2B
$183.8B
$184.1
$186.8B
$187.9B
$184.99B
$185.09B
$188.8B