Euro Area EUR

Euro Area PPI YoY

Impact:
Low
Source: EUROSTAT

Latest Release:

Date:
Surprise:
-0.1%
Actual:
1.9%
Forecast: 2%
Previous/Revision:
3%
Period: Mar

Next Release:

Date:
Period: Apr
What Does It Measure?
The Euro Area Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. It focuses primarily on the inflation within the production sector, including goods and services, and assesses key indicators such as energy prices, intermediate goods, and consumer goods, with values above 100 typically indicating inflationary pressures.
Frequency
The Euro Area PPI is released monthly, providing preliminary estimates that are subject to revision; it is typically published on the first working day of the following month.
Why Do Traders Care?
Traders closely monitor the PPI for indications of inflationary trends that can influence monetary policy decisions, thus impacting financial markets. A higher-than-expected PPI can lead to appreciation of the euro and upward movements in equities due to anticipated interest rate hikes, while lower readings may have the opposite effect.
What Is It Derived From?
The Euro Area PPI is derived from a longitudinal survey that collects price data from producers across a broad range of industries within the eurozone. The calculation involves a weighting system based on the sales values of the producer goods and services, ensuring that the index accurately reflects production price changes.
Description
The PPI is significant as it often serves as a leading indicator of consumer price inflation (CPI), reflecting price movements before they reach the consumer. The distinction between preliminary and final reports is important as preliminary data is based on early estimates and subject to future revisions, while final data reflects a more accurate assessment of producer price changes, with financial markets often reacting more sharply to preliminary reports due to their immediacy.
Additional Notes
The PPI is considered a leading economic indicator, offering insight into future consumer price inflation and overall economic health. Variations in the PPI can correlate strongly with broader economic trends within the Euro Area and have implications for monetary policy decisions of the European Central Bank, as well as comparative assessments with price indices released in other global markets.
Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks
Higher than expected: Bullish for the Euro, Bullish for Stocks. Lower than expected: Bearish for the Euro, Bearish for Stocks.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
1.9%
2%
3%
-0.1%
3%
3.4%
1.7%
-0.4%
1.8%
1.4%
0.1%
0.4%
0%
-0.1%
-1.2%
0.1%
-1.2%
-1.3%
-3.3%
0.1%
-3.2%
-3.3%
-3.4%
0.1%
-3.4%
-3.5%
-2.3%
0.1%
-2.3%
-2.4%
-2.2%
0.1%
-2.1%
-2.5%
-3.3%
0.4%
-3.2%
-3.3%
-4.1%
0.1%
-4.2%
-4.1%
-5.7%
-0.1%
-5.7%
-5.1%
-7.8%
-0.6%
-7.8%
-7.7%
-8.5%
-0.1%
-8.3%
-8.6%
-8%
0.3%
-8.6%
-8.1%
-10.7%
-0.5%
-10.6%
-10.5%
-8.8%
-0.1%
-8.8%
-8.7%
-9.4%
-0.1%
-9.4%
-9.5%
-12.4%
0.1%
-12.4%
-12.5%
-11.5%
0.1%
-11.5%
-11.6%
-7.6%
0.1%
-7.6%
-7.6%
-3.4%
-3.4%
-3.1%
-1.6%
-0.3%
-1.5%
-1.3%
0.9%
-0.2%
1%
1.4%
5.5%
-0.4%
5.9%
5.9%
13.3%
13.2%
13.3%
15.1%
-0.1%
15%
17.7%
24.5%
-2.7%
24.6%
22.5%
27%
2.1%
27.1%
27.5%
30.5%
-0.4%
30.8%
31.5%
41.9%
-0.7%
41.9%
42%
43.4%
-0.1%
43.3%
43.1%
38%
0.2%
37.9%
35.8%
36%
2.1%
35.8%
35.7%
36.2%
0.1%
36.3%
36.7%
37.2%
-0.4%
37.2%
38.5%
36.9%
-1.3%
36.8%
36.3%
31.5%
0.5%
31.4%
31.5%
30.6%
-0.1%
30.6%
27%
26.3%
3.6%
26.2%
26.1%
23.7%
0.1%
23.7%
22.9%
21.9%
0.8%
21.9%
19%
16.1%
2.9%
16%
15.2%
13.4%
0.8%
13.4%
13.5%
12.4%
-0.1%
12.1%
11%
10.2%
1.1%
10.2%
10.3%
9.6%
-0.1%
9.6%
9.5%
7.6%
0.1%
7.6%
7.3%
4.3%
0.3%
4.3%
4.2%
1.5%
0.1%
1.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0%
-0.4%
-1.1%
0.4%
-1.1%
-1.2%
-1.9%
0.1%
-1.9%
-2.2%
-2%
0.3%
-2%
-2.4%
-2.3%
0.4%
-2.4%
-2.4%
-2.6%
-2.5%
-2.7%
-3.1%
0.2%
-3.3%
-3.4%
-3.7%
0.1%
-3.7%
-3.9%
-5%
0.2%
-5%
-4.8%
-4.5%
-0.2%
-4.5%
-4%
-2.8%
-0.5%
-2.8%
-2.6%
-1.4%
-0.2%
-1.3%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-0.6%
-0.5%
-0.5%
-0.6%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-1.4%
-1.4%
-1.5%
-1.9%
0.1%
-1.9%
-1.9%
-1.2%
-1.2%
-1.2%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.5%
0.1%
-0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.7%
0.7%
0.8%
1.6%
-0.1%
1.6%
1.7%
2.6%
-0.1%
2.6%
3.2%
2.9%
-0.6%
2.9%
3%
3%
-0.1%
3%
3.1%
2.9%
-0.1%
3%
2.9%
3%
0.1%
3%
3.2%
4%
-0.2%
4%
4.1%
4.9%
-0.1%
4.9%
4.5%
4.6%
0.4%
4.5%
4.2%
4.3%
0.3%
4.2%
3.8%
4.3%
0.4%
4%
3.9%
3.6%
0.1%
3.6%
3.5%
3%
0.1%
3%
2.7%
1.9%
0.3%
2%
2.4%
2.1%
-0.4%
2.1%
2.1%
1.6%
1.6%
1.5%
1.6%
0.1%
1.5%
1.6%
2.2%
-0.1%
2.2%
2.3%
2.8%
-0.1%
2.8%
2.5%
2.5%
0.3%
2.5%
2.5%
2.8%
2.9%
2.8%
2.5%
0.1%
2.5%
2.3%
2%
0.2%
2%
2.2%
2.4%
-0.2%
2.5%
2.4%
3.4%
0.1%
3.3%
3.5%
4.3%
-0.2%
4.3%
4.5%
3.9%
-0.2%
3.9%
4.1%
4.5%
-0.2%
4.5%
4.3%
3.9%
0.2%
3.5%
3.2%
1.6%
0.3%
1.6%
1.3%
0.1%
0.3%
0.1%
-0.1%
-0.4%
0.2%
-0.4%
-1%
-1.5%
0.6%
-1.5%
-1.8%
-1.9%
0.3%
-2.1%
-2.1%
-2.6%
-2.8%
-2.9%
-3.1%
0.1%
-3.1%
-3.5%
-3.9%
0.4%
-3.9%
-4.1%
-4.4%
0.2%
-4.4%
-4.1%
-4.1%
-0.3%
-4.2%
-4.3%
-4.2%
0.1%
-4.2%
-4%
-3%
-0.2%
-2.9%
-2.9%
-3%
-3%
-2.8%
-3.2%
-0.2%
-3.2%
-3.1%
-3.2%
-0.1%
-3.1%
-3.2%
-3.2%
0.1%
-3.1%
-3.3%
-2.6%
0.2%
-2.6%
-2.4%
-2.1%
-0.2%
-2.1%
-2.1%
-2.1%
-2.2%
-2.2%
-2%
-2%
-2%
-2.2%
-2.2%
-2%
-2.3%
-0.2%
-2.3%
-2.3%
-2.8%