Italy EUR

Italy Consumer Confidence

Impact:
Medium

Latest Release:

Date:
Big Surprise:
3.5
| EUR
Actual:
96.5
Forecast: 93
Previous/Revision:
92.7
Period: May

Next Release:

Date:
Forecast: 93
Period: Jun
What Does It Measure?
The Italy Consumer Confidence Index measures the degree of optimism or pessimism that households express regarding their current and future economic situation. It primarily focuses on consumers' expectations for personal financial conditions, overall economic conditions, inflation, and employment levels.
Frequency
This index is released monthly, typically on the last working day of the month, reflecting consumer sentiments based on survey responses collected during the previous month, and it is often considered a preliminary estimate.
Why Do Traders Care?
Traders monitor the Italy Consumer Confidence Index as it is a crucial indicator of future consumer spending, which is a major component of economic growth. Higher-than-expected confidence levels tend to bolster the euro and stock markets, while negative readings can lead to bearish sentiment in these areas.
What Is It Derived From?
The index is derived from a survey of a representative sample of Italian households, usually about 2,000 respondents, who are asked about their perceptions and expectations related to their economic situation, unemployment, and savings. The survey employs diffusion indices, whereby a greater number of positive responses boosts the overall index score.
Description
The Italy Consumer Confidence Index is significant as it acts as a leading indicator, frequently utilized to gauge the general economic climate and predict consumer behavior in the Italian economy. Positive trends in this index often correlate with increased domestic consumption and investment, while negative trends can signal economic downturns.
Additional Notes
As a leading economic measure, the Italy Consumer Confidence Index often precedes broader economic trends, correlating with GDP growth or contraction. Additionally, it can be compared to similar US and EU consumer confidence metrics for a more robust understanding of consumer sentiment within the Eurozone context.
Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks
Higher than expected: Bullish for EUR, Bullish for Stocks.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
96.5
93
92.7
3.5
92.7
94
95
-1.3
95
98.8
98.8
-3.8
98.8
98.4
98.2
0.4
98.2
96
96.3
2.2
96.3
97
96.6
-0.7
96.6
97.2
97.4
-0.6
97.4
98.5
98.3
-1.1
98.3
96
96.1
2.3
96.1
99.2
98.9
-3.1
98.9
98
98.3
0.9
98.3
97
96.4
1.3
96.4
96
95.2
0.4
95.2
96.9
96.5
-1.7
96.5
97.5
97
-1
97
96.9
96.4
0.1
96.4
106
95.8
-9.6
106.7
103.8
103.6
2.9
103.6
102
101.6
1.6
101.6
105.2
105.4
-3.6
105.4
105.5
106.5
-0.1
106.5
105.6
106.7
0.9
106.7
107.8
108.6
-1.1
108.6
105.5
105.1
3.1
105.1
105.2
105.5
-0.1
105.5
105.5
105.1
105.1
104
104
1.1
104
103.1
100.9
0.9
100.9
102.7
102.5
-1.8
102.5
98.5
98.1
4
98.1
91
90.1
7.1
90.1
93.8
94.8
-3.7
94.8
95.1
98.3
-0.3
98.3
92.5
94.8
5.8
94.8
96.6
98.3
-1.8
98.3
102.5
102.7
-4.2
102.7
100.5
100
2.2
100
100.4
100.8
-0.4
100.8
108.3
112.4
-7.5
112.4
115
114.2
-2.6
114.2
116.5
117.7
-2.3
117.7
116.2
117.5
1.5
117.5
117
118.4
0.5
118.4
118.5
119.6
-0.1
119.6
115.8
116.2
3.8
116.2
116.1
116.6
0.1
116.6
115.5
115.1
1.1
115.1
112
110.6
3.1
110.6
104.4
102.3
6.2
102.3
102
100.9
0.3
100.9
100.7
101.4
0.2
101.4
101
100.7
0.4
100.7
100.5
101.1
0.2
102.4
98.5
98.4
3.9
98.1
99
101.7
-0.9
102
102.2
103.3
-0.2
103.4
100.8
101
2.6
100.8
100
100.1
0.8
100
103.8
100.7
-3.8
100.6
97.5
94.3
3.1
94.3
88.5
100.1
5.8
101
100.5
110.9
0.5
111.4
111.4
111.8
111.8
110.5
110.8
1.3
110.8
109
108.6
1.8
108.5
111.7
111.5
-3.2
111.7
111.7
112.2
112.2
112.6
111.9
-0.4
111.9
109.6
113.3
2.3
113.4
109.6
109.8
3.8
109.6
111.3
111.6
-1.7
111.8
110
110.6
1.8
110.5
111.2
111.2
-0.7
111.2
112
112.4
-0.8
112.4
113
113.9
-0.6
114
112.6
113.2
1.4
113.1
114
114.7
-0.9
114.8
115.9
116.5
-1.1
116.6
115
116.1
1.6
116
114.9
115.3
1.1
115.2
115.9
116.2
-0.7
116.3
115.9
116.2
0.4
116.2
113.2
113.9
3
113.7
116.5
116.9
-2.8
117.1
116.9
117.5
0.2
117.5
115
115.7
2.5
115.6
114.9
115.5
0.7
115.5
116.3
116.5
-0.8
116.6
114
114.4
2.6
114.3
116.4
116
-2.1
116.1
114.9
115.6
1.2
115.5
110.8
111.2
4.7
110.8
106.9
106.9
3.9
106.7
106.2
106.4
0.5
106.4
106.2
105.4
0.2
105.4
107.3
107.4
-1.9
107.5
107.5
107.6
107.6
106.6
106.6
1
106.6
109
108.6
-2.4
108.8
110.6
110.9
-1.8
111.1
112.4
108.1
-1.3
107.9
109.6
108
-1.7
108
109.5
108.6
-1.5
108.7
109.1
109.1
-0.4
109.2
110.5
111.2
-1.3
111.3
109.2
110.2
2.1
110.2
112.5
112.5
-2.3
112.7
114.4
114.1
-1.7
114.2
115
114.9
-0.8
115
114
114.5
1
114.5
117.9
118.6
-3.4
118.9
117
117.7
1.9
117.6
117
118.4
0.6
118.4
116.5
117
1.9
116.9
112.1
113
4.8
112.7
108.97
109.3
3.73
109
105.92
106.7
3.08
106.5
109
109.3
-2.5
109.5
105.7
106
3.8
105.7
108.2
108
-2.5