Germany EUR
Germany Current Account
影响: 
低的
低的
Source: Deutsche Bundesbank
最新发布:
日期:
Surprise:
€12.6B
实际的:
€34.1B
预报:
€21.5B
Previous/Revision:
€20B
Period:
Mar
下一个发布:
日期:
预报:
€29.5B
Period:
Apr
它测量什么？
德国经常账户测量该国与世界其他地区的交易，重点关注货物和服务的贸易、收入支付和经常转移。它评估贸易差额、自国外的净收入以及诸如外援的转移，表明德国在全球舞台上是净借贷方还是净借款方。
频率
经常账户数据每季度公布，初步估计通常在季度结束后约45天发布，随后在接下来的几个月中发布修正数据。
交易者为何关心？
交易者密切关注经常账户，因为它反映了德国的经济稳定性和竞争力，影响投资者对欧元及整个欧洲经济的信心。盈余表明经济强劲，可能吸引外资，而赤字可能引发对财务可持续性的担忧。
它是如何得出的？
经常账户是由参与国际贸易的企业的详细调查、中央银行的数据以及对跨境支付的统计分析组合而成。收集的信息包括商品和服务的出口和进口、投资收入以及居民与非居民之间的转移。
描述
该指标通常以季度为基础报告，使用环比（QoQ）方法，使得可以通过将每个季度与前一个季度进行比较来检查经济趋势及全球经济状况的反应。环比波动帮助突出短期经济动态，例如贸易活动的季节性变化。
附加说明
经常账户是滞后的经济指标，反映已经发生的经济活动。它作为评估德国在全球贸易中的影响和地位的一个重要工具，同时可与欧元区及更广泛的全球趋势进行比较。
对货币和股票的看涨或看跌
高于预期：对EUR看涨，对股票看涨。
低于预期：对EUR看跌，对股票看跌。
图例
高潜在影响
此事件具有显著影响市场的潜力。如果“实际值”与预测值有足够大的差异，或者“先前值”被大幅修正，这表明市场可能会迅速调整以适应新信息。
中等潜在影响
此事件可能会导致市场适度波动，尤其是当“实际值”偏离预测值，或者“先前值”出现显著修正时。
低潜在影响
此事件不太可能影响市场定价，除非出现意外惊喜或对先前数据的重大修正。
意外情况 - 货币可能走强
实际偏离预测，涉及中高影响事件，历史上可能使货币走强.
意外情况 - 货币可能走弱
实际偏离预测，涉及中高影响事件，历史上可能使货币走弱.
重大意外 - 货币更有可能走强
“实际值”相较于“预测值”偏差超过历史偏差的75%在中等或高影响事件中，可能会导致该货币走强。.
重大意外 - 货币更有可能走弱
“实际值”相较于“预测值”偏差超过历史偏差的75%在中等或高影响事件中，可能会导致该货币走弱
| 绿色数字 | 比预测更有利于该货币（或先前修正更好） |
| 红色数字 | 比预测更不利于该货币（或先前修正更好） |
| 鹰派 | 支持提高利率以对抗通胀，加强货币但对股票形成压力。 |
| 鸽派 | 支持降低利率以促进增长，削弱货币但利好股票。 |
| 日期 | 时间 | 实际的 | 预报 | 以前的 | 意外情况 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
€34.1B |
€21.5B | €20B |
€12.6B | ||
€20B |
€15.9B | €15B |
€4.1B | ||
€11.8B |
€19.5B | €20.9B |
€-7.7B | ||
€24B |
€30.4B | €21.9B |
€-6.4B | ||
€24.1B |
€22.5B | €13.7B |
€1.6B | ||
€12.5B |
€15B | €21.3B |
€-2.5B | ||
€22.6B |
€25.7B | €17.1B |
€-3.1B | ||
€14.4B |
€20.6B | €17.7B |
€-6.2B | ||
€16B |
€20.5B | €20.6B |
€-4.5B | ||
€23.2B |
€23.3B | €18.4B |
€-0.1B | ||
€18.5B |
€12B | €25.9B |
€6.5B | ||
€25.9B |
€20.8B | €27.6B |
€5.1B | ||
€27.6B |
€26.5B | €28.7B |
€1.1B | ||
€29.8B |
€27.6B | €28B |
€2.2B | ||
€29.7B |
€22.1B | €31.6B |
€7.6B | ||
€31.4B |
€32B | €30.5B |
€-0.6B | ||
€30.8B |
€22.5B | €20B |
€8.3B | ||
€21.4B |
€20.3B | €28B |
€1.1B | ||
€28.1B |
€16.7B | €22.8B |
€11.4B | ||
€16.6B |
€15.9B | €18.7B |
€0.7B | ||
€18.7B |
€22.3B | €28.4B |
€-3.6B | ||
€29.6B |
€19.6B | €8.2B |
€10B | ||
€8.9B |
€16.5B | €22.4B |
€-7.6B | ||
€21.8B |
€21.6B | €30.5B |
€0.2B | ||
€32.4B |
€20.5B | €22.6B |
€11.9B | ||
€22.6B |
€19.1B | €17B |
€3.5B | ||
€16.2B |
€16.8B | €25.6B |
€-0.6B | ||
€24.3B |
€12.5B | €17.5B |
€11.8B | ||
€16.9B |
€8.8B | €5.7B |
€8.1B | ||
€5.9B |
€15.1B | €11.7B |
€-9.2B | ||
€14.8B |
€11.6B | €0.9B |
€3.2B | ||
€0.6B |
€9.5B | €5.4B |
€-8.9B | ||
€5B |
€13.3B | €14.3B |
€-8.3B | ||
€16.2B |
€4.8B | €-0.4B |
€11.4B | ||
€2.5B |
€3.5B | €9B |
€-1B | ||
€7.4B |
€13.2B | €18.8B |
€-5.8B | ||
€18.8B |
€28.5B | €21.1B |
€-9.7B | ||
€20.8B |
€13.5B | €12.5B |
€7.3B | ||
€11B |
€16.3B | €24.6B |
€-5.3B | ||
€23.9B |
€22.1B | €18.9B |
€1.8B | ||
€18.9B |
€17.6B | €17.6B |
€1.3B | ||
€15.4B |
€21.5B | €20B |
€-6.1B | ||
€19.6B |
€16.2B | €15.4B |
€3.4B | ||
€11.8B |
€15.1B | €17.9B |
€-3.3B | ||
€17.6B |
€24.4B | €22.5B |
€-6.8B | ||
€22.5B |
€17.4B | €13.9B |
€5.1B | ||
€13.1B |
€19.1B | €21B |
€-6B | ||
€21.3B |
€18.9B | €30B |
€2.4B | ||
€30.2B |
€25.2B | €18.6B |
€5B | ||
€18.8B |
€22.5B | €17.6B |
€-3.7B | ||
€16.9B |
€22.9B | €25.9B |
€-6B | ||
€28.2B |
€23.4B | €21.2B |
€4.8B | ||
€21.3B |
€21B | €22.9B |
€0.3B | ||
€22.5B |
€24.2B | €25.2B |
€-1.7B | ||
€26.3B |
€20.8B | €16.5B |
€5.5B | ||
€16.5B |
€18.2B | €21B |
€-1.7B | ||
€20B |
€22.9B | €20.4B |
€-2.9B | ||
€22.4B |
€14B | €7B |
€8.4B | ||
€6.5B |
€14.9B | €9.1B |
€-8.4B | ||
€7.7B |
€14.9B | €25.6B |
€-7.2B | ||
€24.4B |
€16.6B | €23.7B |
€7.8B | ||
€23.7B |
€16.7B | €16.8B |
€7B | ||
€16.6B |
€20.1B | €24.8B |
€-3.5B | ||
€29.4B |
€22B | €24.1B |
€7.4B | ||
€24.9B |
€16.9B | €22.9B |
€8B | ||
€22.7B |
€19.5B | €24.9B |
€3.2B | ||
€25.5B |
€20.4B | €17.3B |
€5.1B | ||
€16.9B |
€18.1B | €21.3B |
€-1.2B | ||
€22.1B |
€11.7B | €20.9B |
€10.4B | ||
€20.3B |
€20.8B | €16.2B |
€-0.5B | ||
€16.5B |
€10.5B | €22.9B |
€6B | ||
€22.6B |
€21.1B | €30.9B |
€1.5B | ||
€30.2B |
€25.6B | €17.5B |
€4.6B | ||
€16.3B |
€17.5B | €18.8B |
€-1.2B | ||
€18.3B |
€16.8B | €23.1B |
€1.5B | ||
€21B |
€17.4B | €21.6B |
€3.6B | ||
€21.4B |
€25.5B | €18.9B |
€-4.1B | ||
€15.9B |
€19B | €21.4B |
€-3.1B | ||
€21.1B |
€21.7B | €15.3B |
€-0.6B | ||
€15.3B |
€16.2B | €15.1B |
€-0.9B | ||
€15.3B |
€20B | €26.6B |
€-4.7B | ||
€26.2B |
€21.2B | €13.3B |
€5B | ||
€12.6B |
€14.6B | €23.5B |
€-2B | ||
€22.7B |
€20B | €29.6B |
€2.7B | ||
€29.1B |
€27B | €21.7B |
€2.1B | ||
€20.7B |
€22.7B | €20.3B |
€-2B | ||
€22B |
€15.1B | €28.8B |
€6.9B | ||
€27.8B |
€25.1B | €27.2B |
€2.7B | ||
€18.1B |
€20B | €25.8B |
€-1.9B | ||
€25.4B |
€25B | €18B |
€0.4B | ||
€17.8B |
€17B | €19.6B |
€0.8B | ||
€19.4B |
€19.5B | €25B |
€-0.1B | ||
€23.6B |
€24.8B | €16B |
€-1.2B | ||
€17.3B |
€18.1B | €14.9B |
€-0.8B | ||
€15.1B |
€29.2B | €31.1B |
€-14.1B | ||
€30.2B |
€28.6B | €20.7B |
€1.6B | ||
€20.4B |
€20.2B | €14.2B |
€0.2B | ||
€12.8B |
€15.9B | €24.8B |
€-3.1B | ||
€24B |
€25.1B | €24.6B |
€-1.1B | ||
€24.6B |
€26.2B | €19.4B |
€-1.6B | ||
€18.4B |
€23.4B | €24.4B |
€-5B | ||
€24.2B |
€23.9B | €17.4B |
€0.3B | ||
€17.9B |
€23.4B | €20.2B |
€-5.5B | ||
€18.6B |
€23.5B | €26.3B |
€-4.9B | ||
€26.3B |
€24.4B | €18.4B |
€1.9B | ||
€17.5B |
€23.7B | €28.8B |
€-6.2B | ||
€28.8B |
€23.4B | €29.9B |
€5.4B | ||
€30.4B |
€25.2B | €21.1B |
€5.2B | ||
€20B |
€24.3B | €14.3B |
€-4.3B | ||
€13.2B |
€22.4B | €26.3B |
€-9.2B | ||
€25.6B |
€23B | €24.3B |
€2.6B | ||
€24.7B |
€22.3B | €22.9B |
€2.4B | ||
€23B |
€23.4B | €25B |
€-0.4B | ||
€25.1B |
€21.7B | €13.3B |
€3.4B | ||
€12.3B |
€15.7B | €24.7B |
€-3.4B | ||
€23.4B |
€21.3B | €24.4B |
€2.1B | ||
€24.4B |
€21.2B | €11.8B |
€3.2B | ||
€11.1B |
€17.2B | €21.2B |
€-6.1B | ||
€19.6B |
€21.6B | €27.3B |
€-2B | ||
€27.9B |
€21.6B | €16.6B |
€6.3B |