France EUR

France Inflation Rate MoM Prel

Info

History

Chart

Impact:

Medium

Source: INSEE, France

Latest Release:

Date:

Big Surprise:

-0.2%

EUR

Actual:

-0.1%

Forecast: 0.1%

Previous/Revision:

0.6%

Period: May

Next Release:

Date:

Period: Jun

What Does It Measure?

The France Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the prices of a basket of consumer goods and services, specifically the preliminary monthly variation. This indicator provides insights into inflationary pressures within the French economy and focuses on components such as food, energy, and overall consumer spending.

Frequency

The Inflation Rate is typically reported monthly, with the preliminary figure released approximately one month after the end of the reporting period.

Why Do Traders Care?

Traders prioritize the Inflation Rate as it significantly influences monetary policy decisions, which can affect interest rates and subsequently market sentiment. Higher-than-expected inflation tends to be bullish for currencies and equities, while lower readings can have a bearish effect on these assets.

What Is It Derived From?

The Inflation Rate is derived from the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is calculated based on price changes across a representative set of goods and services collected through surveys of businesses and consumers. The process involves a comprehensive analysis of price data, statistical adjustments, and the application of weighting to reflect consumer spending patterns.

Description

The preliminary report offers an early estimate based on initial data and may be subject to revisions, while the final data released later provides a more comprehensive and accurate reflection of the inflationary trends. The monthly reporting captures short-term fluctuations in the price level, allowing analysts and traders to identify urgent trends or shifts in the economic landscape.

Additional Notes

The France Inflation Rate is a crucial coincident indicator that reflects current price levels and contributes to broader economic assessments, affecting fiscal and monetary policy deliberations. It serves as an essential tool for comparing inflation trends across different regions of Europe and provides insights relative to similar reports globally.

Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks

Higher than expected: Bullish for EUR, Bullish for Stocks. Lower than expected: Bearish for EUR, Bearish for Stocks. Dovish tone: Signaling lower interest rates or inflation concerns, is usually good for the EUR but bad for Stocks due to cheaper borrowing costs.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise
May 27, 2025	-0.1%	0.1%	0.6%	-0.2%
Apr 30, 2025	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	0.2%
Mar 28, 2025	0.2%	0.4%	0%	-0.2%
Feb 28, 2025	0%	0.3%	0.2%	-0.3%
Jan 31, 2025	-0.1%	0%	0.2%	-0.1%
Jan 07, 2025	0.2%	0.3%	-0.1%	-0.1%
Nov 29, 2024	-0.1%	0.1%	0.3%	-0.2%
Oct 31, 2024	0.2%	0.2%	-1.2%
Sep 27, 2024	-1.2%	-0.7%	0.5%	-0.5%
Aug 30, 2024	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
Jul 31, 2024	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%	-0.2%
Jun 28, 2024	0.1%	0.1%	0%
May 31, 2024	0%	0.2%	0.5%	-0.2%
Apr 30, 2024	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%
Mar 29, 2024	0.2%	0.5%	0.9%	-0.3%
Feb 29, 2024	0.8%	0.7%	-0.2%	0.1%
Jan 31, 2024	-0.2%	-0.4%	0.1%	0.2%
Jan 04, 2024	0.1%	0.2%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Nov 30, 2023	-0.2%	0%	0.1%	-0.2%
Oct 31, 2023	0.1%	0.2%	-0.5%	-0.1%
Sep 29, 2023	-0.5%	-0.3%	1%	-0.2%
Aug 31, 2023	1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.2%
Jul 28, 2023	0%	0.2%	0.2%	-0.2%
Jun 30, 2023	0.2%	0.2%	-0.1%
May 31, 2023	-0.1%	0.3%	0.6%	-0.4%
Apr 28, 2023	0.6%	0.4%	0.9%	0.2%
Mar 31, 2023	0.8%	0.9%	1%	-0.1%
Feb 28, 2023	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
Jan 31, 2023	0.4%	0.5%	-0.1%	-0.1%
Jan 04, 2023	-0.1%	0.4%	0.3%	-0.5%
Nov 30, 2022	0.4%	0.4%	1%
Oct 28, 2022	1%	0.5%	-0.6%	0.5%
Sep 30, 2022	-0.5%	-0.1%	0.5%	-0.4%
Aug 31, 2022	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	-0.1%
Jul 29, 2022	0.3%	0.3%	0.7%
Jun 30, 2022	0.7%	0.7%	0.7%
May 31, 2022	0.6%	0.5%	0.4%	0.1%
Apr 29, 2022	0.4%	0.2%	1.4%	0.2%
Mar 31, 2022	1.4%	1.3%	0.8%	0.1%
Feb 25, 2022	0.7%	0.3%	0.3%	0.4%
Feb 01, 2022	0.3%	-0.2%	0.2%	0.5%
Jan 04, 2022	0.2%	0.3%	0.4%	-0.1%
Nov 30, 2021	0.4%	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%
Oct 29, 2021	0.4%	0.3%	-0.2%	0.1%
Sep 30, 2021	-0.2%	-0.1%	0.6%	-0.1%
Aug 31, 2021	0.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.2%
Jul 30, 2021	0.1%	-0.1%	0.1%	0.2%
Jun 30, 2021	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
May 28, 2021	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Apr 30, 2021	0.2%	0.2%	0.6%
Mar 31, 2021	0.6%	0.7%	0%	-0.1%
Feb 26, 2021	-0.1%	-0.3%	0.2%	0.2%
Feb 02, 2021	0.2%	-0.1%	0.2%	0.3%
Jan 06, 2021	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%	-0.2%
Nov 27, 2020	0.2%	0.1%	0%	0.1%
Oct 30, 2020	-0.1%	0.2%	-0.5%	-0.3%
Sep 30, 2020	-0.5%	-0.3%	-0.1%	-0.2%
Aug 28, 2020	-0.1%	0%	0.4%	-0.1%
Jul 31, 2020	0.4%	-0.1%	0.1%	0.5%
Jun 30, 2020	-0.1%	-0.3%	0.1%	0.2%
May 29, 2020	0%	0.1%	0%	-0.1%
Apr 30, 2020	0.1%	-0.3%	0.1%	0.4%
Mar 31, 2020	0%	0.3%	0%	-0.3%
Feb 28, 2020	0%	0.1%	-0.4%	-0.1%
Jan 31, 2020	-0.4%	-0.6%	0.4%	0.2%
Jan 03, 2020	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%
Nov 29, 2019	0.1%	-0.1%	0%	0.2%
Oct 31, 2019	-0.1%	0.3%	-0.3%	-0.4%
Sep 27, 2019	-0.3%	-0.3%	0.5%
Aug 30, 2019	0.5%	0.6%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Jul 31, 2019	-0.2%	0.1%	0.2%	-0.3%
Jun 28, 2019	0.2%	0%	0.1%	0.2%
May 29, 2019	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	-0.1%
Apr 30, 2019	0.2%	0.3%	0.8%	-0.1%
Mar 29, 2019	0.8%	0.9%	0%	-0.1%
Feb 28, 2019	0%	0.4%	-0.4%	-0.4%
Jan 31, 2019	-0.5%	-0.2%	0%	-0.3%
Jan 04, 2019	0%	0.1%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Nov 30, 2018	-0.2%	-0.2%	0.1%
Oct 31, 2018	0.1%	0.1%	-0.2%
Sep 28, 2018	-0.2%	-0.1%	0.5%	-0.1%
Aug 31, 2018	0.5%	0.5%	-0.1%
Jul 31, 2018	-0.1%	-0.3%	0%	0.2%
Jun 29, 2018	0.1%	0.1%	0.4%
May 31, 2018	0.4%	-0.1%	0.2%	0.5%
Apr 27, 2018	0.1%	0.1%	1%
Mar 30, 2018	1%	0.3%	0%	0.7%
Feb 28, 2018	0%	0.3%	-0.1%	-0.3%
Jan 31, 2018	-0.1%	-0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Jan 05, 2018	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Nov 30, 2017	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Oct 31, 2017	0.1%	0.1%	-0.2%
Sep 29, 2017	-0.1%	0.2%	0.6%	-0.3%
Aug 31, 2017	0.6%	0.5%	-0.3%	0.1%
Jul 28, 2017	-0.3%	-0.4%	0%	0.1%
Jun 30, 2017	0%	0%	0.1%
May 31, 2017	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	-0.1%
Apr 28, 2017	0.1%	0.1%	0.6%
Mar 31, 2017	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%	-0.1%
Feb 28, 2017	0.1%	0.4%	-0.2%	-0.3%
Jan 31, 2017	-0.2%	-0.5%	0.3%	0.3%
Jan 03, 2017	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.1%
Nov 30, 2016	0%	-0.1%	0%	0.1%
Oct 28, 2016	0%	0.2%	-0.2%	-0.2%
Sep 30, 2016	-0.2%	-0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Aug 31, 2016	0.3%	0.4%	-0.4%	-0.1%
Jul 29, 2016	-0.4%	-0.3%	0.1%	-0.1%
Jun 30, 2016	0.1%	0.1%	0.4%
May 31, 2016	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%
Apr 29, 2016	0.1%	0.1%	0.7%
Mar 31, 2016	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%
Feb 26, 2016	0.2%	0.04%	1%	0.16%
Jan 29, 2016	-1%	-0.9%	0.2%	-0.1%