United States USD

United States Redbook YoY

Epekto:
Mababa

Pinakabagong release:

Petsa:
Aktwal:
4.7%
Pagtataya:
Previous/Revision:
4.9%
Period: Jun/07

Susunod na Pag-release:

Petsa:
Period: Jun/14
Ano ang Ipinapakita Nito?
Ang United States Redbook YoY ay sumusukat sa taon-taon na pagbabago sa mga benta ng retail ayon sa iniulat ng isang lingguhang survey ng isang sample ng malalaking retailer. Nilalayon nitong suriin ang mga uso sa paggastos ng mamimili, tinutuon ang pansin sa mga key area tulad ng pangkalahatang kalusugan ng sektor ng retail at tiwala ng mamimili.
Dalas
Ang ulat ng Redbook ay inilalabas tuwing linggo, na nagbibigay ng napapanahong mga pananaw sa mga uso ng benta sa retail, at habang nag-uulat ito ng mga numero sa isang paunang batayan, ang mga numerong ito ay madalas na itinuturing na nagpapakita ng mas malawak na kondisyon ng ekonomiya.
Bakit Mahalaga sa mga Trader?
Ang mga trader ay masusing nagmamanman sa Redbook YoY dahil ito ay nagsisilbing maagang tagapagpahiwatig ng paggastos ng mamimili, na kritikal para sa paglago ng GDP. Ang mga makabuluhang paglihis mula sa mga inaasahan ay maaaring makaapekto sa pakiramdam ng merkado, na nakakaapekto sa mga pera tulad ng USD, pati na rin sa mga presyo ng stock sa retail at mga kaugnay na sektor.
Ano ang Nagmula Dito?
Ang index ng Redbook ay nagmumula sa datos na nakolekta mula sa isang napiling grupo ng mga pangunahing chain ng retail, kung saan humigit-kumulang 9,000 na lokasyon ng tindahan ang nag-ambag sa survey. Ang mga figure ng benta ay iniulat sa pamamagitan ng isang diffusion index methodology na nahuhuli ang kasalukuyang mga uso kumpara sa parehong panahon ng nakaraang taon.
Paglalarawan
Ang Redbook YoY ay naghambing ng mga datos ng benta ng retail sa parehong linggo mula sa nakaraang taon, na nagpapahintulot sa mga analyst na alisin ang mga pana-panahong pagbabago at makuha ang mas malinaw na pananaw sa ugali ng paggastos ng mamimili. Ang paghahambing na ito ay mahalaga para sa mga retailer at mga policymaker dahil nagbibigay ito ng mas matatag na sukat ng paglago kaysa sa mga pagbabago mula sa buwan hanggang buwan.
Karagdagang Tala
Ang Redbook ay itinuturing na isang coincident economic indicator, na nagbibigay ng mga pananaw na malapit na nakaugnay sa pangkalahatang kondisyon ng ekonomiya. Madalas itong ikinumpara sa iba pang mga ulat ng benta ng retail, tulad ng buwanang Retail Sales report mula sa Census Bureau, na nagpapalawak ng pag-unawa sa mga uso sa paggastos ng mamimili.
Bullish o Bearish para sa Barya at mga Stock
Mas mataas kaysa sa inaasahan: Bullish para sa USD, Bullish para sa mga Stocks. Mas mababa kaysa sa inaasahan: Bearish para sa USD, Bearish para sa mga Stocks.

Legend

Malaking potential na Impact
Ang event na ito ay inaasahang mag dudulot ng Malakas pag galaw sa market, lalo na kung ang 'Actual' ay lumihis mula sa inaasahang resulta o may kapansin-pansing pagbabago sa 'Nakaraang' halaga.

Bahagyang potential na Impact
Ang event na ito ay inaasahang mag dudulot ng bahagyang pag galaw sa market, lalo na kung ang 'Actual' ay lumihis mula sa inaasahang resulta o may kapansin-pansing pagbabago sa 'Nakaraang' halaga.

Mababang potential na Impact
Ang event na ito ay malabong maapektuhan ang presyo sa market, maliban nalang kung may di inaasahang surpresa o malaking rebisyon bago lumabas ang data.

Surperesa - Maaaring Lumakas ang Pera
Actual na lumihis sa inaasahan sa katamataman o mataas na impact na event at base sa mga nakaraan maaring lumakas ang pera..

Surperesa - Maaaring Humina ang Pera
Actual na lumihis sa inaasahan sa katamataman o mataas na impact na event at base sa mga nakaraan maaring humina ang pera..

Malaking Surpresa - Mas mataas ang tyansa na lumakas ang pera
Actual'ay lumihis sa 'inaasahang' mas mataas ng 75% sa mga naunang naitalang pag lihis sa katamtaman o mataas na mga impact na event at inaasahang lumakas ang pera..

Malaking Surpresa - Mas mataas ang tyansa na humina ang pera
Actual'ay lumihis sa 'inaasahang' mas mataas ng 75% sa mga naunang naitalang pag lihis sa katamtaman o mataas na mga impact na event at inaasahang humina ang pera.

Berdeng Numero Mas maganda sa inaasahang resulta para sa currency(o mas maganda sa nakaraang rebisyon)
Pulang Numero Mas di maganda sa inaasahang resulta para sa currency(o mas maganda sa nakaraang rebisyon)
Hawkish Sinusuportahan ang mas mataas na interest rates para malabanan ang inflation, pinapalakas ang pera ngunit bumababa ang stocks.
Dovish Mas pabor sa mababang rates para mapalakas ang pag unlad,pinapahina ang currency ngunit pinapataas ang stocks.
Petsa Petsa Aktwal Pagtataya Dati Surperesa
4.7%
4.9%
4.9%
6.1%
6.1%
5.4%
5.4%
5.8%
5.8%
6.9%
6.9%
6.1%
6.1%
7.4%
7.4%
6.6%
6.6%
7.2%
7.2%
4.8%
4.8%
5.6%
5.6%
5.2%
5.2%
5.7%
5.7%
6.6%
6.6%
6.2%
6.2%
6.3%
6.3%
5.3%
5.3%
5.7%
5.7%
4.9%
4.9%
4.5%
4.5%
4%
4%
6.8%
6.8%
7.1%
7.1%
5.9%
5.9%
4.8%
4.8%
4.2%
4.2%
7.4%
7.4%
4.9%
4.9%
5.1%
5.1%
4.8%
4.8%
6%
6%
5.6%
5.6%
4.6%
4.6%
5.6%
5.6%
5.4%
5.4%
5.3%
5.3%
4.4%
4.4%
4.6%
4.6%
6.5%
6.5%
6.3%
6.3%
5%
5%
4.9%
4.9%
4.7%
4.7%
5.1%
5.1%
4.5%
4.5%
4.9%
4.9%
4.8%
4.8%
6.3%
6.3%
5.8%
5.8%
5.3%
5.3%
5.9%
5.9%
5.5%
5.5%
5.8%
5.8%
6.3%
6.3%
5.5%
5.5%
6.3%
6.3%
6%
6%
5.5%
5.5%
5.3%
5.3%
4.9%
4.9%
5.4%
5.4%
5.2%
5.2%
3.9%
3.9%
3.4%
3.4%
3%
3%
3.1%
3.1%
2.7%
2.7%
3%
3%
2.5%
2.5%
6.1%
6.1%
5%
5%
5.2%
5.2%
5%
5%
5.9%
5.9%
5.6%
5.6%
4.1%
4.1%
3.6%
3.6%
3.4%
3.4%
3%
3%
6.3%
6.3%
3.4%
3.4%
3%
3%
3.1%
3.1%
5.3%
5.3%
5%
5%
4.6%
4.6%
4%
4%
3.5%
3.5%
3.8%
3.8%
3.6%
3.6%
4.6%
4.6%
4.1%
4.1%
4.2%
4.2%
2.9%
2.9%
0.7%
0.7%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
-0.4%
-0.4%
-0.2%
-0.2%
-0.4%
-0.4%
0.7%
0.7%
0.5%
0.5%
0.9%
0.9%
0.4%
0.4%
0.6%
0.6%
1.2%
1.2%
1.5%
1.5%
1.6%
1.6%
1.3%
1.3%
1.3%
1.3%
1.8%
1.8%
1.1%
1.1%
1.5%
1.5%
3.7%
3.7%
2.8%
2.8%
3.2%
3.2%
2.6%
2.6%
3%
3%
5.3%
5.3%
5.3%
5.3%
4.9%
4.9%
4.3%
4.3%
4.9%
4.9%
4.6%
4.6%
5%
5%
5.3%
5.3%
10.2%
10.2%
9.6%
9.6%
7.6%
7.6%
5.9%
5.9%
5.7%
5.7%
10.4%
10.4%
7.5%
7.5%
6.8%
6.8%
7.6%
7.6%
9.7%
9.7%
8.2%
8.2%
8%
8%
8.3%
8.3%
12.3%
12.3%
11%
11%
10.5%
10.5%
11.4%
11.4%
10.9%
10.9%
14.2%
14.2%
13.5%
13.5%
12.7%
12.7%
10.4%
10.4%
15.5%
15.5%
13.3%
13.3%
14.6%
14.6%
13%
13%
13.1%
13.1%
11.7%
11.7%
12.8%
12.8%
11.4%
11.4%
12.4%
12.4%
12.6%
12.6%
11.4%
11.4%
12.7%
12.7%
13.1%
13.1%
15.2%
15.2%
12.7%
12.7%
15.2%
15.2%
13.4%
13.4%
14.3%
14.3%
12.9%
12.9%
12.4%
12.4%
12.6%
12.6%
13.1%
13.1%
13.4%
13.4%
14.5%
14.5%
15.4%
15.4%
13.3%
13.3%
15.8%
15.8%
15.6%
15.6%
15.2%
15.2%
14.4%
14.4%
18.8%
18.8%
21.4%
21.4%
16.4%
16.4%
16%
16%
15.3%
15.3%
21.9%
16.9%
15.3%
15.4%
14.7%
14.7%
15.6%
15.6%
16.9%
16.9%
15.6%
15.6%
15.4%
15.4%
14.8%
14.8%
16.6%
16.4%
16.5%
16.5%
17.1%
17.1%
15.3%
15.3%
16.5%
16.5%
18.6%
18.6%
16.6%
16.6%
15%
15%
16.2%
16.2%
17.2%
17.2%
16%
16%
15%
15%
14%
14%
19.4%
19.4%
18.2%
18.2%
17.6%
17.6%
16.4%
16.4%
14.5%
14.5%
13%
13%
13.6%
13.6%
12.6%
12.6%
13.3%
13.3%
14.2%
14.2%
13.9%
13.9%
13.5%
13.5%
13.2%
13.2%
10.6%
10.6%
9.8%
9.8%
9.4%
9.4%
8.5%
8.5%
8%
8%
4.6%
4.6%
2.9%
2.9%
4%
4%
0.7%
0.7%
4.4%
4.4%
3.9%
3.9%
2.2%
2.2%
2.1%
2.1%
5.5%
5.5%
8.9%
8.9%
6.5%
6.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.1%
2.1%
9.2%
9.2%
2.8%
2.8%
1.7%
1.7%
1.1%
1.1%
3.2%
3.2%
1.2%
1.2%
2.5%
2.5%
1.2%
1.2%
2.1%
2.1%
4%
2.2%
-1.9%
2.2%
1.5%
1.5%
-1.2%
-1.2%
-0.1%
-0.1%
4.6%
4.6%
0.6%
0.6%
-2.8%
-2.8%
-3.4%
-3.4%
-7.1%
-7.1%
-8.7%
-8.7%
-7.5%
-7.5%
-5.5%
-5.5%
-6.9%
-6.9%
-5.7%
-5.7%
-6.1%
-6.1%
-8.3%
-8.3%
-9.7%
-9.7%
-7.2%
-7.2%
-5.5%
-5.5%
-9.5%
-9.5%
-7.5%
-7.5%
-9.3%
-9.3%
-8.1%
-8.1%
-6.9%
-6.9%
-2%
-2%
5.3%
5.3%
6.3%
6.3%
9.1%
9.1%
8.5%
8.5%
6%
6%
5.9%
5.9%
5.4%
5.4%
5.7%
5.7%
4.8%
4.8%
5.7%
5.7%
5.5%
5.5%
5.3%
5.3%
5%
5%
7.2%
7.2%
7.8%
7.8%
6.2%
6.2%
4.6%
4.6%
5%
5%
7.9%
7.9%
4.3%
4.3%
4.1%
4.1%
5%
5%
5.5%
5.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.3%
4.3%
4.1%
4.1%
5.5%
5.5%
5.8%
5.8%
5.2%
5.2%
5.4%
5.4%
6.4%
6.4%
6.5%
6.5%
5.7%
5.7%
4.9%
4.9%
4.4%
4.4%
5.1%
5.1%
4.5%
4.5%
4.9%
4.9%
4.7%
4.7%
6.2%
6.2%
5.5%
5.5%
5%
5%
5.4%
5.4%
5%
5%
5.8%
5.8%
5.7%
5.7%
5.2%
5.2%
5.4%
5.4%
5.9%
5.9%
5.5%
5.5%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4.8%
4.8%
4.4%
4.4%
5.3%
5.3%
4.9%
4.9%
4.4%
4.4%
4.2%
4.2%
5.2%
5.2%
5.4%
5.4%
4.6%
4.6%
5.7%
5.7%
5.8%
5.8%
7%
7%
6.7%
6.7%
8.9%
8.9%
9.3%
9.3%
7.8%
7.8%
7.1%
7.1%
6.6%
6.6%
7%
7%
7.9%
7.9%
6.2%
6.2%
6.1%
6.1%
6.1%
6.1%
5.9%
5.9%
5.5%
5.5%
5.8%
5.8%
6.5%
6.5%
5.7%
5.7%
5.8%
5.8%
5.4%
5.4%
6.3%
6.3%
6.5%
6.5%
5.1%
5.1%
4.7%
4.7%
4.5%
4.5%
5.6%
5.6%
4.2%
4.2%
3.8%
3.8%
3.3%
3.3%
5.2%
5.2%
4.4%
4.4%
3.1%
3.1%
4.7%
4.7%
4.3%
4.3%
4%
4%
4.3%
4.3%
3.2%
3.2%
4.9%
4.9%
4.2%
4.2%
3.5%
3.5%
2.6%
2.6%
3%
3%
2.9%
2.9%
4.4%
4.4%
3.6%
3.6%
3.2%
3.2%
2.9%
2.9%
3.8%
3.8%
3.3%
3.3%
3.7%
3.7%
2.8%
2.8%
3%
3%
3.2%
3.2%
3.8%
3.8%
2.6%
2.6%
3.4%
3.4%
5%
5%
5.7%
5.7%
4.4%
4.4%
3.3%
3.3%
3%
3%
4.8%
4.8%
4.1%
4.1%
2.3%
2.3%
2.6%
2.6%
3.6%
3.6%
3.5%
3.5%
3.6%
3.6%
3.2%
3.2%
4.1%
4.1%
4%
4%
3.6%
3.6%
4.5%
4.5%
0.3%
4.4%
4.3%
4.3%
3.2%
3.2%
2.5%
2.5%
2.7%
2.7%
2.8%
2.8%
2.1%
2.1%
2%
2%
2.4%
2.4%
2.7%
2.7%
2.2%
2.2%
2.8%
2.8%
2.1%
2.1%
2.5%
2.5%
1.8%
1.8%
2%
2%
2.4%
2.4%
1.3%
1.3%
2.3%
2.3%
1.7%
1.7%
2.3%
2.3%
1.6%
1.6%
1.3%
1.3%
0.6%
0.6%
1.2%
1.2%
1.3%
1.3%
1%
1%
1.4%
1.4%
1.1%
1.1%
0.9%
0.9%
0.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.9%
0.9%
2.4%
2.4%
2.1%
2.1%
1.5%
1.5%
1%
1%
0.7%
0.7%
2.2%
2.2%
1%
1%
0.9%
0.9%
0.7%
0.7%
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.3%
1%
1%
0.5%
0.5%
1.3%
1.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.5%
0.9%
0.9%
0.7%
0.7%
0.6%
0.6%
0.9%
0.9%
0.4%
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
1.1%
2.5%
0.6%
0.6%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.5%
1.1%
1.1%
0.6%
0.6%
1.5%
1.5%
0.8%
0.8%
0.6%
0.6%
0.7%
0.7%
0.6%
0.6%
1.2%
1.2%
0.9%
0.9%
0.6%
0.6%
0.8%
0.8%
1%
1%
1.4%
1.4%
1.7%
1.7%
2.9%
2.9%
2.5%
2.5%
2.1%
2.1%
1.5%
1.5%
1.9%
1.9%
3.9%
3.9%
1.5%
1.5%
1.2%
1.2%
1.1%
1.1%
1.9%
1.9%
1.5%
1.5%
1.3%
1.3%
1.1%
1.1%
0.7%
0.7%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
1.7%
1.7%
1.3%
1.3%
1.3%
1.3%
1.7%
1.7%
1.6%
1.6%
1.9%
1.9%
1.7%
1.7%
1%
1%
1.2%
1.2%
1.4%
1.4%
2%
2%
1.7%
1.7%
1.6%
1.6%
1.1%
1.1%
1.2%
1.2%
1.7%
1.7%
1.6%
1.6%
1.8%
1.8%
2.1%
2.1%
1.6%
1.6%
1.4%